Bankroll Survival Simulator

See whether your bankroll strategy actually survives variance long enough for your edge to work. Most bettors don't lose because they lack an edge. They lose because they don't survive variance.

FREESTRATEGYVARIANCE

Survival beats greed.

Long-term profitability comes from staying alive during bad runs.

1Simulation Inputs
€
%
%

Percentage of bankroll staked per bet.

2Survival Summary
Set valid inputs to run the simulation.
6What Destroys Bankrolls?
Edge rarely kills a bankroll. These habits do.
Overstaking
Most common killer.
Chasing losses
Turns normal variance into bankruptcy.
Increasing stake during drawdowns
Accelerates ruin.
Kelly without edge estimation
Most bettors massively overbet.

Guide

Everything you need to use this tool with confidence.

Watch the 2-minute walkthrough

The Risk of Ruin Simulator calculates how likely it is that your bankroll will be completely depleted.

Many sports bettors focus exclusively on their edge or their hit rate.

The problem?

Even a profitable strategy can fail if the bankroll is too small or the stakes are chosen too aggressively.

With this calculator you can simulate how hit rate, odds, stake size and bankroll affect your long-term risk of survival.

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Next step

Like what you see? Log this bet in the Bet Tracker and watch your edge play out over time.

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Keep going. These tools work well together.

Variance Simulator

See how variance affects your bankroll.

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Calculate the probability of losing streaks.

EV Calculator

Calculate your expected value.

ROI / Yield Calculator

Measure long-term bankroll performance.

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All calculations run on your device.

Instant Results

Advanced formulas. Zero waiting.

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Used by thousands of sharp bettors daily.

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