Hedge Calculator

Reduce risk, lock profit, or balance outcomes intelligently. Hedging changes your payout profile — not your prediction.

FREERISKSTRATEGY

Hedging is buying stability.

A hedge bet sacrifices some upside to reduce variance and protect bankroll stability.

INPUTS

Enter your original bet and current market odds

1. Original Bet

€
2. Current Market

Enter the current odds for the opposite outcome.

%

Stake tax some bookmakers add (e.g. Germany's 5% Wettsteuer). Leave 0 if your book absorbs it. Cuts your hedge's effective odds.

3. Hedge Goal
Calculate Hedge
Hedging transforms volatility into stability.
Enter your bet details
Fill in the fields on the left to see your hedge recommendation.
Profit Locked
--
Either way
Upside Sacrificed
--
vs holding the bet
Total Staked
--
Combined stake
Hedge Bet Payout
--
Win amount
RISK TRANSFORMATION
BEFORE HEDGE
High volatility
WinLose+€0.00+€0.00
From volatility
to stability
AFTER HEDGE
Balanced outcomes
WinHedge+€0.00+€0.00
WHAT THIS MEANS
Hedging reduces variance.
You give up some upside for certainty.
Full hedges maximise safety.
Partial hedges preserve more EV.
Books profit from emotional cashouts.
Hedging is risk management — not prediction.
EV VS SAFETY — HEDGE IMPACT
ApproachSafetyEV Retention
Full Hedge
Partial Hedge
Hold Position

Hedging is a risk-management decision, not a prediction decision. More protection usually means giving up some long-term value.

SHOULD YOU HEDGE?

Why are you hedging?

Have a bookmaker cashout offer?

Compare it against a self-hedge to see which one actually keeps more of your value.

Analyze Cashout Offer
CHOOSE YOUR HEDGE STYLE
Full Hedge
Lowest variance
Lowest upside
Guaranteed outcome
+€50
=
+€50
Partial Hedge
Balanced approach
Keeps more EV
Moderate volatility
+€120
-€15
Aggressive Hold
No hedge
Maximum upside
Highest variance
+€400
-€100
WHEN HEDGING MAKES SENSE
Good Reasons
Protecting bankroll survival
Releasing capital for better opportunities
Reducing excessive exposure
Managing risk near important bankroll thresholds
Bad Reasons
✕Fear after placing the bet
✕Temporary emotional discomfort
✕Chasing certainty
✕Reacting to short-term variance
2:00
How professional bettors actually hedge
Learn how sharp bettors use hedging to control risk, not just react to the market.
Watch video (2 min)
ARTICLES & GUIDES
Full vs partial hedging
When hedging destroys EV
Hedging vs cashout
Why books love emotional hedging
Reducing variance intelligently
Learn More
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